Housing Forecast Methodologies

Household Characteristics by Income

Household Characteristics by Income Methodology

This methodology cross-tabulates household demographic characteristics with income groups defined relative to the HUD Area Median Income (AMI). It provides a snapshot of who lives in a community, broken down by how much they earn.

Income Group Definitions

Households are classified into six AMI-relative income bands:

Income GroupRangeColumn
Very Low Income<30% AMIlt_30
Low Income30-50% AMIi_30_50
Moderate Income50-80% AMIi_50_80
Middle Income80-100% AMIi_80_100
Above Median100-120% AMIi_100_120
High Income>120% AMIgt_120

AMI dollar thresholds are geography- and year-specific:

Thresholdi,g = AMIg × αi

where αi ∈ {0.30, 0.50, 0.80, 1.00, 1.20} and AMIg is the HUD-published Area Median Income for geography g.

When HUD income limits are unavailable for a geography, the system falls back to:

AMIfallback = B19113g × 1.08

where B19113 is the ACS median family income and the 1.08 multiplier approximates the HUD AMI adjustment.

Census Income Rebinning

ACS income tables report household counts in 16 fixed dollar bins (e.g., $0-$10k, $10k-$15k, ..., $200k+). These must be rebinned to the AMI-relative bands, whose dollar boundaries vary by geography.

The rebinning uses proportional allocation:

HAMI,j = Σi Hcensus,i × overlap(Bcensus,i, BAMI,j) / width(Bcensus,i)

where:

  • HAMI,j = households assigned to AMI bin j
  • Hcensus,i = households in Census bin i
  • overlap() = dollar range overlap between the Census bin and the AMI bin
  • width() = width of the Census bin

For the open-ended top bin ($200k+), all households are fully allocated to whichever AMI bin contains $200k+.

Demographic Categories

Four demographic dimensions are cross-tabulated with income:

1. Household Type

Family and nonfamily households are classified into three groups:

Display NameSource
Family w/ childrenMarried-couple, male-householder, and female-householder families with own children (B19131)
Family w/o childrenMarried-couple, male-householder, and female-householder families without own children (B19131)
OtherNonfamily households (B19201)

2. Age of Householder

Age groups from ACS Table B19037 (Age of Householder by Household Income):

Display NameACS Age Group
Less than 25Under 25 years
25-4425 to 44 years
45-6445 to 64 years
65+65 years and over

3. Race of Householder

Race data comes from race-specific household income tables (B19001A through B19001G). The display logic selects:

  1. Top 3 races by total household count (from tables A-E: White, Black, American Indian, Asian, Pacific Islander)
  2. Other — sum of remaining single-race categories plus "Some other race" (table F)
  3. Two or more races — table G

This ensures the chart highlights the most prevalent racial groups while aggregating smaller categories.

4. Ethnicity of Householder

Ethnicity is reported as two groups:

  • Hispanic — from B19001I (Hispanic or Latino householder)
  • Non-Hispanic — calculated as B19001 (total) minus B19001I, bin by bin

This subtraction approach is more accurate than using B19001H (White Alone, Not Hispanic), which would exclude non-Hispanic Black, Asian, and other racial groups from the non-Hispanic count.

Display Logic

When a geography has no data in the 100-120% AMI band across all rows, the 100-120% and >120% columns are merged into a single ">=100%" column to avoid displaying empty categories.

Data Sources

ComponentSourceTable/Series
Household income by ageU.S. Census ACSB19037
Family household incomeU.S. Census ACSB19131
Nonfamily household incomeU.S. Census ACSB19201
Household income (total)U.S. Census ACSB19001
Household income by raceU.S. Census ACSB19001A-G
Household income (Hispanic)U.S. Census ACSB19001I
Median family incomeU.S. Census ACSB19113
Area Median IncomeHUDIncome Limits
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